Fenerbahce vs Benfica Predictions | Champions League Play-offs 20/08/2025
The prediction of the monprono.com editorial team:
Fenerbahce does not lose
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Our analysis of the match between Fenerbahce and Benfica
This is undoubtedly one of the most thrilling clashes of these Champions League play-offs. On one side, Fenerbahçe, on the other, Benfica: two heavyweights of European football, each with a squad built to go far in the competition. And it's in Istanbul, this Wednesday at 9 p.m., on the pitch of the Ülker Stadium Şükrü Saracoğlu, that this duel for a place in the group stage will begin.
The Turks, who were knocked out by LOSC in qualifying last season, are keen to ward off bad luck. But facing them is a Lisbon side that knows its way around these European fixtures and has started its season with a bang. The context promises a tense, fast-paced, and close contest between two teams eager to keep their chances alive before the return leg in Lisbon in a week.
What is the prediction for the Champions League match between Fenerbahce and Benfica?
Our prediction for the upcoming match between Fenerbahce and Benfica is: Fenerbache don't lose!
Here are the probability estimates from our proprietary algorithm, developed by the monprono.fr team, for the Fenerbahçe – Benfica match on August 20, 2025 in the Champions League play-offs, accompanied by the best odds found on the market:
- Fenerbahçe victory: 39,13 % probability, with odds of 2.50 available at Winamax.
- Draw: 20,15 % of chances according to our model, for odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
- Benfica's success: the most likely scenario according to our analysis, with 40,72 % probability and odds of 2.58 also at Unibet.
Exclusive figures calculated by monprono.fr, to be used with lucidity in your betting strategy.
See more match statistics: Fenerbahce - Benfica
At monprono.com, we strive to provide you with reliable and up-to-date statistics on upcoming sporting events every week, so that you can carry out your own sports analyses if you wish. If you want to get predictions made by a team of professionals, go to the Jbpronostics team website and take advantage of a 30% discount on their subscriptions thanks to our exclusive partnership.
Form and results of the last matches of Fenerbahce and Benfica
Fenerbahce
The latest results
- V
- D
- V
- D
- V
- N
- →
statistics of the last 6 matches.
The last 5 meetings
Benfica
The latest results
- D
- V
- V
- V
- V
- V
- →
statistics of the last 6 matches.
The last 5 meetings
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Our update on the latest performances of Fenerbahce and Benfica
Having entered the qualifying round in the third round, Fenerbahçe got their European campaign off to a perfect start by eliminating Feyenoord. Beaten 2-1 in Rotterdam, José Mourinho's men turned things around spectacularly in Istanbul (5-2), displaying a convincing attacking display. However, their league start was more sluggish: the Istanbulites were held to a goalless draw by Göztepe SK in their first Süper Lig outing.
On the Portuguese side, Benfica haven't left a single crumb to their opponents since the start of the season. The Lisbon club kicked off hostilities by winning the National Super Cup against Sporting CP (0-1), before completely extinguishing OGC Nice in qualifying (0-2 in the first leg, 2-0 in the return). And the momentum continued in the league with a controlled victory against Estrela (0-1) on the first day. Buoyed by this run without conceding a single goal, Bruno Lage's men approach this clash with maximum confidence.
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Squad updates for the Fenerbache vs Benfica match
For this first home leg, José Mourinho will be able to rely on a nearly full-strength squad. In defense, Milan Skriniar, now a pillar of the Istanbul rearguard, will play his role as boss with his top-level experience. In midfield, the trio of Amrabat, Fred, and Talisca (who scored a crucial goal against Feyenoord in the return leg) will be responsible for regulating the tempo and feeding the attacking line. Up front, Youssef En-Nesyri and Jhon Duran should form a formidable duo to shake up Lisbon's solid defense.
Indeed, this Benfica defense is presenting itself with maximum confidence. Not having conceded a goal since the start of the season: a strong sign. Goalkeeper Anatoliy Trubin has been stringing together solid performances, well supported by an experienced and complementary central defence composed of Otamendi and Antonio Silva. Up front, the number one attacking asset is Vangelis Pavlidis. Already a scorer against Sporting and Estrela, the Greek center-forward will be one to watch very closely by the Turkish front.
Key points to remember for the match
Perfect series
SL Benfica have won their first four competitive matches of the season.
Iron Defense
SL Benfica have yet to concede a single goal this season.
Draw in sight
SL Benfica will certainly be happy with a draw away from home.
Timid departure
Fenerbahçe started the Süper Lig with a draw against Göztepe SK (0-0).
Mixed results
Fenerbahçe have won only one of their three competitive matches this season in all competitions.
