Rennes vs Marseille Prediction | Ligue 1
| 15/08/2025
The prediction of the monprono.com editorial team:
Double chance scorer: Mason Greenwood / Amine Gouiri
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Our analysis of the match between Rennes and Marseille
Ligue 1 reopens this Friday evening at 8:45 p.m. with a highly anticipated match: Stade Rennais hosts Olympique de Marseille at Roazhon Park. For this 2025/26 season, Rennes are approaching the match with the desire to forget a disappointing last campaign, which ended in a modest 12th place. Still led by Habib Beye, the Breton club is aiming for an ambitious recovery, with European qualification in its sights.
But to launch this new adventure, the challenge promises to be daunting. OM arrives in Brittany on the back of a largely controlled previous season, punctuated by a 2nd place synonymous with the Champions League. Under the leadership of Roberto De Zerbi, the Marseillais have also wisely strengthened their squad this summer: Facundo Medina, Angel Gomes and Igor Paixao have come to strengthen an already competitive squad. The monprono.com team notes that the Phocéens will be keen to make an impression from the first matchday, by seeking victory on a historically difficult pitch.
What is the prediction for the football match between Rennes and Marseille?
Our prediction for the upcoming match between Rennes and Marseille is: Marseille wins and Greenwood scores!
Here are the monprono.com team's predictions for the Rennes – Marseille match on August 15, 2025 in Ligue 1, based on our proprietary prediction algorithm. 1X2, crossing advanced statistics and dynamic odds:
➤ Stade Rennais' victory is valued at 22,23% probability, with a better odds of 3.80 offered by Parions Sport en Ligne.
➤ The draw hypothesis obtains an estimate of 32,04%, with odds of 3.85 noted at Betclic.
➤ Finally, the scenario of a Marseille success presents the highest probability: 45,73%, for maximum odds of 1.92, also at Betclic.
Data from exclusive monprono.fr models, designed for a rigorous and independent approach to sports forecasting.
See more statistics on the final: Rennes - OM
At monprono.com, we strive to provide you with reliable and up-to-date statistics on upcoming sporting events every week, so that you can carry out your own sports analyses if you wish. If you want to get predictions made by a team of professionals, go to the Jbpronostics team website and take advantage of a 30% discount on their subscriptions thanks to our exclusive partnership.
Form and results of the last matches of Rennes and OM
Rennes
The latest results
- V
- D
- N
- N
- D
- N
- →
statistics of the last 6 matches.
The last 5 meetings
Marseille
The latest results
- V
- N
- V
- V
- N
- N
- V
- →
statistics of the last 6 matches.
The last 5 meetings
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Analysis of the latest performances of Rennes and OM
The last season left a bitter taste in the mouths of Roazhon Park. Touted as a serious contender for European places, Stade Rennais ultimately disappointed, finishing a distant 12th. The arrival of Habib Beye during the season helped stabilize the situation somewhat, and the former Red Star coach has now had the opportunity to build his project during the summer preparations. However, the signals sent this summer remain mixed: only one victory in six friendlies, against FC Nantes (2-3) on July 26, has not really dispelled doubts.
In Marseille, the context is very different. Second in the last league, OM is approaching this new season with high ambitions on all fronts. The transfer window has been active and focused, and Roberto De Zerbi's men already seem well-oiled. Undefeated in their six warm-up matches, they concluded their summer with a successful performance against Aston Villa at the Vélodrome (3-1). The monprono.com team emphasizes that the Olympians arrive in a strong mood and confident in their strength for this first Ligue 1 clash.
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In-depth squad analysis for the Rennes vs Marseille match
For this season kickoff at Roazhon Park, Stade Rennais will be without its entire squad. Alidu Seidu, who has been on the sidelines for many months, is not in the squad. Added to this are the uncertainties surrounding Lilian Brassier, Valentin Rongier – who could return to his former club – as well as Arnaud Kalimuendo, whose departure has been discussed. Despite these absences, the Breton squad has some interesting new players: Przemyslaw Frankowski and Quentin Merlin, two summer signings, should quickly hit the ground running. Habib Beye could also bank heavily on the rise of Djaoui Cissé, a revelation at the Euro Under-21s and a goalscorer in his only appearance in pre-season.
On the Olympian side, the monprono.com team notes two notable absences. Facundo Medina, suspended, will miss this first outing, as will Igor Paixao, injured. On the other hand, Roberto De Zerbi will be able to rely on a nearly full squad. Timothy Weah, CJ Egan-Riley, Angel Gomes, and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang should all be ready for this trip. Last season's mainstays will also be present: Leonardo Balerdi will lead the defense, while Mason Greenwood and Amine Gouiri will pose constant threats in the last 30 meters.
Key points to remember for the match
OM in good shape
OM have scored in all 6 of their preparation matches.
Greenwood decisive
Mason Greenwood has scored in OM's last two warm-up matches.
Prolific goalscorer
Mason Greenwood scored 21 goals in Ligue 1 last season.
Gouiri on fire
Amine Gouiri has scored 10 goals in just 14 matches played for OM.
Permeable defense
Stade Rennais have only kept a clean sheet once in 6 warm-up matches.
